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January 28, 2007

2007, January, week #2 and on: What has happened with the Sonics

SEATTLE - The lineup has taken yet another turn, another change. Any team that has an injury to a player trys to fill that missing part. At the start of the season it was Robert Swift.

The Sonics Bob Hill tried a variety of lineups to compensate for not having the guy that was to be the starting center. We saw (not in exact order, like you could tell) Sene, Petro, Wilcox, Collison, Wilcox, Sene, Wilcox again, the Greek dude (remember him?), Wilcox, and now Collison again. It looks like Hill has settled on Collison as center and Wilcox as Power Forward.

The Sonics players still don't know that throwing the ball into a post play will pull a double team off of a perimeter player. When a big man goes to double team Ray Allen (or any body else)), that doesn't mean that the other team has 6 players on the floor, it means that your center or power forward is lonely.

Now, maybe the Sonics players lack the fine art of throwing the ball into the post without forcing the post player to lose position just to catch the ball. Don't laugh, some players can't do this very well. r, maybe they don't trust what will happen to the ball once it is passed to the post player. Petro shoots the ball nearly every time, sure he scores, but that isn't the point (from the passer's perspective). It isn't enough to spread the defense sideline to sideline, you have to get them to commit to defending close to the basket and the 3 point line. The more you can get teams to jump to the post and back out to the 3 point line, the more likely they are to end up standing in between.

So, what did we see with Collison at center, and Wilcox at power forward?
When the big man would jump out on Ray, Ray would pass the ball to Collison. Collison would slip the screen and hit a wide open 12 foot shot, something he struggled with last year. The other defender under the basket soon had to rotate out on to defend Collison, this leaves a lane for somebody other than Allen to dive into the paint. Pretty soon this draws a crowd and you have to have some weakside mid-range game to keep the help defender away from clogging the paint (that's you Gelabale and Watson).

Hill posted up Wilcox more, and sent guys through the paint to either get a pass, or at least take their man out of the way.

All of this requires patience and persistence, they have shown that.

Blah, blah, blah, they spead the floor, set solid screens for the best shooter, and they passed the ball. This was, for some reason, new to them. But maybe it wasn't so much new to them as it was that they, them, the 5, were not the best fitting 5. Commend Hill for putting 5 guys on the floor that played well together. It's harder than it looks, ask the Griz, Knicks, and any team Nate McMillan coaches.

January 01, 2007

2007, January, week #1: What has happened, what's on the way

SEATTLE - Happy 2007 everybody. I'll stop writing 2006 on everything around the first week of February. I have a new quarter starting in school that will take up most of my posting time.

The Sonics face the Suns on Tuesday, Heat on Wednesday, Jazz on Friday. I don't see this team winning any of those games and I have to wonder if Hill makes it past Friday. After that they have 4 games in 2 weeks. If they were going to make a player or coaching change then that is the time to do it. If the team doesn't see a coaching change as having an effect (I don't), then they must make meaningful changes. Rick Sund, that means you have to produce something.

Here is what happened this week.

2007, 1/6, Sonics @ Warriors:
Up and down, insert Watson and Gelebale as starters, no beefy center in Golden State, still lose. The Sonics win this game no matter who they start if they had Rashard Lewis, they don't have a matchup for Rashard.

2007, 1/5, Sonics hosting the Knicks:
Too much beefy middle, got beat on the boards again, 43 to 37. Hill put in a larger center and they give up drives to the hoop because those larger guys are not shot blockers. Hill put in a shot blocker and he (Petro) gives up 50 pounds to Curry on the post up. That's they way it is no matter who you have coaching.

What Happened:
2007, 1/3, @ Houston
The Sonics made a close game of it, and as long as the apposing team is absent a 7-4 center things will be ok. Still, they lost on the boards again: Rockets 41 to Sonics 32.
Wilcox continues to unimpress, and I'm falling further out of "like" of him. His 4 rebounds in 39 minutes are disturbing. His 2 defensive rebounds have brought his season avereage down to equal to Rashard Lewis' 5.3 per game. One of them defends shooters around the perimeter, further from the hoop.

This team needs a better starting center, according to quotes of Bob Hill after the game. What does that say about the guys that are playing center now? Is Petro a center? I'm not so sure. He could be a backup power forward to Wilcox or Collison. One of those three could go in trade, along with Danny Fortson's expiring contract. I don't know how many starting centers are out there that could be had, and I don't know if Seattle has the parts to make a deal and still have a team. That's not my job, that is Rick Sund's task.

What Happened:
2007, 1/2, @ Dallas
The Sonics got pummelled on the glass by Dalllas again, losing 88 to 112.
Sonics had 30 rebounds, Mavs 58
The box score says it all.

Well, most of it, the good feeling from the Celtics game didn't last, as I have noted below. It's tough to watch this team look like it's not trying to defend. I'm falling out of "like" of Chris Wilcox. His defensive rebounding numbers, 5.8 per game, are nearly the same as Rashard Lewis' 5.3 per game. While his offensive rebounding numbers 2.4 per game, vs Lewis' 1.5 per game, are nearly the same dispite Lewis often being positioned out at the three point line on most offensive sets.
If wilcox wants a bigger contract in 3 years he's going to have to either score 10 more points a game, or pull in a few more rebounds per game. But no matter what, he has to out rebound the guy he's defending. He isn't boxing out, it's that simple.

What happened:
2006, 12/31, Celtics come to town.
This matchup used to mean something when Miami Heat team mates Gary Payton and Antoine Walker would whip their respectve teams into a competitive frenzy that included trash talking, technical fouls, and fierce battles. That's all gone.

Paul Peirce was hurt and out, Rashard Lewis was hurt and out; the only two players left from either of those rosters that used to have Payton and Walker. The game wasn't very close, it was sloppy on the Sonics side, with players trying to not look: #1 selfish, #2 a guy Ray (or Lenny) could have traded off the team. They threw the ball around a little too much, the screens on the screen-and-rolls were not very crisp.
The Celtics are too young to know how to finish a game, or maybe the coach didn't notice Al Jefferson eating the Sonics alive, and starting running plays for wing players to shoot long range shots.
For the record, Wally Szczerbiak is getting slower than ever, and is struggling to hit a shot. Add that up and he's not much help to the Celtic kids for a few more games, including this one.
Luke Ridnour had a great floor game.
Earl Watson actually passed up a couple shots, you, me and Sene were all shocked by this turn of events. I don't exect it to last.

In the self-obsorbed tradition of Keith Oberman I present my Special Comment:
Lastly, I figured out who David Locke reminds me of, it is a character from a very popular family movie.
If I think of Kevin Calabro as the Sonnics broadcast equivolent of Mr Incredible (Pixar), than it's easy for me to make the connection to Buddy, aka, Syndrome.


Pic from wikipedia, copyright Pizar.

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